LIPSMAN, KARINA
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2VA08152- Internal id
d471f33f-e052-4dd3-b844-fef5c97e0686- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-11. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 785,090 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $160,992 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $73,187 |
| Income | In poverty | 5.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.411 |
| Race | White alone | 50.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 8.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 22.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 30.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 61.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 11.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 78.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 68.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 34.2% |
| Household | Family households | 70.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.74 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $731,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,367 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 44.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 7.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 97.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 1.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 55.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 4.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 30.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $22,189 | $24,759 | $296 | $0 | $22,180 |
| 2024 | $0 | $4,073 | $2,866 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $290,981 | $284,042 | $6,939 | $0 | $277,163 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· VA-11 β running
- 2022 general house Β· VA-8 β lost_general
- 2025 general house Β· VA-11 β running
Committees
- KARINA FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-30 | MAGGIE'S LIST | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-08-19 | LEAGUE FOR SPORTSMEN, LAW ENFORCEMENT AND DEFEN⦠| 24K | $100 |
| 2022-07-29 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF VIRGINIA INC | 24C | $12,049 |
| 2022-07-29 | 8TH DISTRICT REPUBLICAN COMMITTEE (VA) | 24C | $12,049 |
| 2022-07-28 | RIGHTNOW WOMEN PAC | 24K | $1,500 |
| 2022-07-18 | 8TH DISTRICT REPUBLICAN COMMITTEE (VA) | 24C | $502 |
| 2022-07-18 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF VIRGINIA INC | 24C | $502 |
| 2022-07-18 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF VIRGINIA INC | 24C | $7,500 |
| 2022-07-18 | 8TH DISTRICT REPUBLICAN COMMITTEE (VA) | 24C | $7,500 |
| 2022-06-10 | PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORPORATION PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-06-03 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF VIRGINIA INC | 24C | $2,500 |
| 2022-06-03 | 8TH DISTRICT REPUBLICAN COMMITTEE (VA) | 24C | $2,500 |
| 2022-06-01 | 8TH DISTRICT REPUBLICAN COMMITTEE (VA) | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (13)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-30 | MAGGIE'S LIST | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-19 | LEAGUE FOR SPORTSMEN, LAW ENFORCEMENT AND DEFENSE (AKA THE LEAGUE) | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-29 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF VIRGINIA INC | contributed_to | $12,049 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-29 | 8TH DISTRICT REPUBLICAN COMMITTEE (VA) | contributed_to | $12,049 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-28 | RIGHTNOW WOMEN PAC | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-18 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF VIRGINIA INC | contributed_to | $502 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-18 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF VIRGINIA INC | contributed_to | $7,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-18 | 8TH DISTRICT REPUBLICAN COMMITTEE (VA) | contributed_to | $7,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-18 | 8TH DISTRICT REPUBLICAN COMMITTEE (VA) | contributed_to | $502 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-10 | PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORPORATION PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-03 | 8TH DISTRICT REPUBLICAN COMMITTEE (VA) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-03 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF VIRGINIA INC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-01 | 8TH DISTRICT REPUBLICAN COMMITTEE (VA) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KARINA FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |