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DEVAUGHAN, TAYSHA

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2VA09085
Internal id
d641cf71-6298-4429-ba4d-f9109de05e7e
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-09. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation780,117
PeopleMedian age44
IncomeMedian household income$58,380
IncomePer-capita income$34,480
IncomeIn poverty16.3%
IncomeUnemployed3.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.480
RaceWhite alone87.4%
RaceBlack alone5.6%
RaceAsian alone1.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino3.3%
RaceTwo or more races3.8%
OriginForeign-born3.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home95.2%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.3%
EducationHigh school or higher58.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher23.9%
EducationAdvanced degree9.5%
HouseholdFamily households62.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.34
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.4%
HousingMedian home value$180,900
HousingMedian gross rent$860
HousingSingle-family detached70.0%
HousingBuilt before 19405.8%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.4%
HousingVacant units17.1%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.8%
HealthWith a disability19.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband83.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet13.6%
CommuteDrove alone78.2%
CommutePublic transit0.6%
CommuteWorked from home9.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$0$2,475$0$0$0
2022$58,627$56,151$2,475$0$54,212

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-11-02NATIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR WOMEN, INC. PAC24K$500
2022-10-13AFL-CIO 24F$1
2022-10-07SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION24E$10
2022-10-07AFL-CIO 24F$11
2022-09-12AFL-CIO 24F$17
2022-07-17WASHINGTON COUNTY VIRGINIA DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE24K$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (6)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-11-02NATIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR WOMEN, INC. PACcontributed_to$500pas2
2022-10-13AFL-CIO contributed_to$1pas2
2022-10-07AFL-CIO contributed_to$11pas2
2022-10-07SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTIONcontributed_to$10pas2
2022-09-12AFL-CIO contributed_to$17pas2
2022-07-17WASHINGTON COUNTY VIRGINIA DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEEcontributed_to$1,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofDEVAUGHAN FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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