REEVES, BRYCE

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2VA10216
Internal id: 47bf06a6-e23a-493c-ad45-e59d979201c5
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-07. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	806,870
People	Median age	37
Income	Median household income	$113,817
Income	Per-capita income	$47,986
Income	In poverty	7.3%
Income	Unemployed	4.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.399
Race	White alone	52.9%
Race	Black alone	20.3%
Race	Asian alone	5.2%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	17.9%
Race	Two or more races	12.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	16.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	77.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	13.1%
Education	High school or higher	63.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	37.7%
Education	Advanced degree	15.1%
Household	Family households	73.3%
Household	Avg household size	2.87
Household	Never married (15+)	31.7%
Housing	Median home value	$438,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,813
Housing	Single-family detached	68.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.5%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.0%
Housing	Vacant units	4.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	12.9%
Health	With a disability	10.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	94.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	3.9%
Commute	Drove alone	68.2%
Commute	Public transit	1.9%
Commute	Worked from home	16.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$0	$5,194	$0	$0	$0
2022	$798,891	$793,697	$5,194	$0	$757,087

Elections

2022 general house · VA-7 — lost_general

Committees

REEVES FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$303,998	$59,841	19

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	oppose	$10,990	Mail Production, Printing, & Postage
—	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	oppose	$16,485	Mail Printing, Production, & Postage
—	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	oppose	$10,990	Mail Production, Printing, & Postage
—	KEEPING AMERICA GREAT PAC	oppose	$5,250	TV Advertising
2022-06-21	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	support	$4,105	TEXT MESSAGING SVC
2022-06-20	1788 PAC	support	$3,750	Phone Calls and Texting
2022-06-17	1788 PAC	support	$27,874	Phone Calls and Texting
2022-06-17	1788 PAC	support	$16,767	Phone Calls and Texting
2022-06-15	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	support	$72,415	RADIO MEDIA
2022-06-15	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	support	$33,924	DIRECT MAIL
2022-06-14	CLEAN UP CONGRESS PAC	support	$7,000	Radio Add Opposing Bryce Reeves for Congress
2022-06-14	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	support	$9,437	DIRECT MAIL
2022-06-13	KEEPING AMERICA GREAT PAC	oppose	$16,126	TV Advertising
2022-06-10	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	support	$45,743	TV MEDIA
2022-06-09	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	support	$9,437	DIRECT MAIL
2022-06-09	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	support	$44,326	TV MEDIA PURCHASE
2022-06-02	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	support	$7,750	TV PRODUCTION
2022-05-23	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	support	$12,033	DIRECT MAIL
2022-05-23	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	support	$9,437	DIRECT MAIL

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	KEEPING AMERICA GREAT PAC	24A	$5,250
2022-11-22	RANGER PAC	24K	$-1,000
2022-06-28	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-06-28	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-06-25	CLEAN UP CONGRESS PAC	24A	$1,629
2022-06-25	CLEAN UP CONGRESS PAC	24A	$2,129
2022-06-23	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	24A	$1,909
2022-06-23	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-06-22	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	24A	$10,990
2022-06-22	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	24A	$10,990
2022-06-22	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	24A	$16,485
2022-06-21	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	24E	$4,105
2022-06-20	1788 PAC	24E	$3,749
2022-06-17	FREEDOM'S DEFENSE FUND	24K	$1,000
2022-06-17	1788 PAC	24E	$27,874
2022-06-17	1788 PAC	24E	$16,767
2022-06-15	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	24E	$33,924
2022-06-15	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	24E	$72,415
2022-06-14	CLEAN UP CONGRESS PAC	24A	$7,000
2022-06-14	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	24E	$9,437
2022-06-13	KEEPING AMERICA GREAT PAC	24A	$16,125
2022-06-12	CLEAN UP CONGRESS PAC	24A	$4,800
2022-06-12	RANGER PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-06-10	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	24E	$45,743
2022-06-09	RESOLUTE PAC INC.	24E	$44,326

Connected on the graph

Inbound (63)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	KEEPING AMERICA GREAT PAC	contributed_to	$5,250	pas2
—	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	opposes_independently	$16,485	fec_ies
—	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	opposes_independently	$10,990	fec_ies
—	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	opposes_independently	$10,990	fec_ies
—	KEEPING AMERICA GREAT PAC	opposes_independently	$5,250	fec_ies
2022-11-22	RANGER PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-06-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-06-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-06-25	CLEAN UP CONGRESS PAC	contributed_to	$1,629	pas2
2022-06-25	CLEAN UP CONGRESS PAC	contributed_to	$2,129	pas2
2022-06-23	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$1,909	pas2
2022-06-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-06-22	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$10,990	pas2
2022-06-22	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$10,990	pas2
2022-06-22	VIRGINIA CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$16,485	pas2
2022-06-21	RESOLUTE PAC	contributed_to	$4,105	pas2
2022-06-21	RESOLUTE PAC	supports_independently	$4,105	fec_ies
2022-06-20	1788 PAC	supports_independently	$3,750	fec_ies
2022-06-20	1788 PAC	contributed_to	$3,749	pas2
2022-06-17	1788 PAC	contributed_to	$27,874	pas2
2022-06-17	FREEDOM'S DEFENSE FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-17	1788 PAC	supports_independently	$27,874	fec_ies
2022-06-17	1788 PAC	contributed_to	$16,767	pas2
2022-06-17	1788 PAC	supports_independently	$16,767	fec_ies
2022-06-15	RESOLUTE PAC	supports_independently	$72,415	fec_ies
2022-06-15	RESOLUTE PAC	contributed_to	$33,924	pas2
2022-06-15	RESOLUTE PAC	contributed_to	$72,415	pas2
2022-06-15	RESOLUTE PAC	supports_independently	$33,924	fec_ies
2022-06-14	RESOLUTE PAC	supports_independently	$9,437	fec_ies
2022-06-14	CLEAN UP CONGRESS PAC	supports_independently	$7,000	fec_ies
2022-06-14	CLEAN UP CONGRESS PAC	contributed_to	$7,000	pas2
2022-06-14	RESOLUTE PAC	contributed_to	$9,437	pas2
2022-06-13	KEEPING AMERICA GREAT PAC	opposes_independently	$16,126	fec_ies
2022-06-13	KEEPING AMERICA GREAT PAC	contributed_to	$16,125	pas2
2022-06-12	RANGER PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-12	CLEAN UP CONGRESS PAC	contributed_to	$4,800	pas2
2022-06-10	RESOLUTE PAC	supports_independently	$45,743	fec_ies
2022-06-10	RESOLUTE PAC	contributed_to	$45,743	pas2
2022-06-09	RESOLUTE PAC	contributed_to	$9,437	pas2
2022-06-09	RESOLUTE PAC	supports_independently	$44,326	fec_ies
2022-06-09	RESOLUTE PAC	supports_independently	$9,437	fec_ies
2022-06-09	RESOLUTE PAC	contributed_to	$44,326	pas2
2022-06-06	CLEAN UP CONGRESS PAC	contributed_to	$4,800	pas2
2022-06-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-06-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-06-02	RESOLUTE PAC	supports_independently	$7,750	fec_ies
2022-06-02	RESOLUTE PAC	contributed_to	$7,750	pas2
2022-05-23	RESOLUTE PAC	supports_independently	$12,033	fec_ies
2022-05-23	RESOLUTE PAC	contributed_to	$12,033	pas2
2022-05-23	RESOLUTE PAC	contributed_to	$9,437	pas2
2022-05-23	RESOLUTE PAC	supports_independently	$9,437	fec_ies
2022-05-19	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-13	UNITED FOR LIBERTY PAC	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-05-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-04-19	NATIONAL AUTOMOBILE DEALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-04-18	CONSERVATIVE OPPORTUNITY FUND	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-03-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-03-29	LEAGUE FOR SPORTSMEN, LAW ENFORCEMENT AND DEFENSE (AKA THE LEAGUE)	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-03-23	RANGER PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-01-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-01-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2021-12-15	SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-10-19	GOPAC ELECTION FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	REEVES FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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