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GRAY, MOLLY D · house
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FEC candidate id H2VT01068Internal id 63819ab1-310f-438e-9b22-22c83f2183eaStatus open seat Cycle financials Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
Cycle Raised Spent Cash on hand Debts Indiv. contribs. 2024 $669 $4,555 $0 $0 $0 2022 $1,209,469 $1,205,583 $3,886 $0 $1,126,148
Elections No elections on file.
Committees Election prediction Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
Feature Δ P(win) Base rate (historical) 15.1% D (major party) +10.0% open seat -5.0%
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Date From committee Type Amount 2022-08-09 FIGHT THE RIGHT PAC 24K $2,500 2022-08-08 US APPLE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE… 24K $500 2022-08-04 PROGRESSIVE MAJORITY PAC 24K $1,500 2022-08-03 CHERPAC 24K $1,000 2022-07-29 THE FARM CREDIT COUNCIL POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT… 24K $1,500 2022-07-29 AMERICA NEEDS NEW INNOVATION AND ENERGY PAC 24K $1,000 2022-07-29 NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND 24K $5,000 2022-07-28 AMERIPAC: THE FUND FOR A GREATER AMERICA 24K $5,000 2022-07-28 SUPPORTING HOUSE PROBLEM SOLVERS - SHP PAC 24K $2,500 2022-07-25 GREEN MOUNTAIN PAC 24K $5,000 2022-07-18 NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI… 24K $5,000 2022-07-13 NATIONAL EMERGENCY MEDICINE POLITICAL ACTION CO… 24K $5,000 2022-07-06 SOCIETY OF INTERVENTIONAL RADIOLOGY POLITICAL A… 24K $1,000 2022-06-30 UPNORTH PAC 24K $1,000 2022-06-30 NATIONAL MILK PRODUCERS FEDERATION PAC (NMPF PA… 24K $1,000 2022-06-29 DLGA 24K $2,000 2022-06-22 INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, … 24K $5,000 2022-06-22 INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, … 24K $5,000 2022-04-28 AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC 24K $2,500 2022-03-31 CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE UN… 24K $5,000 2022-03-24 U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION PAC 24K $1,000 2022-03-22 AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTI… 24K $5,000 2022-03-15 MAC PAC 24K $1,000 2022-03-14 NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BROADCASTERS POLITICAL … 24K $500 2022-03-08 AMERICAN CRYSTAL SUGAR COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION… 24K $5,000
Connected on the graph Inbound (26) date from type amount role source 2022-08-09 FIGHT FOR RIGHT contributed_to $2,500 pas2 2022-08-08 US APPLE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE; AKA USAPPLE PAC contributed_to $500 pas2 2022-08-04 PROGRESSIVE MAJORITY contributed_to $1,500 pas2 2022-08-03 CHERPAC contributed_to $1,000 pas2 2022-07-29 AMERICA NEEDS NEW INNOVATION AND ENERGY PAC contributed_to $1,000 pas2 2022-07-29 NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2022-07-29 THE FARM CREDIT COUNCIL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE contributed_to $1,500 pas2 2022-07-28 SUPPORTING HOUSE PROBLEM SOLVERS - SHP PAC contributed_to $2,500 pas2 2022-07-28 AMERIPAC: THE FUND FOR A GREATER AMERICA contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2022-07-25 GREEN MOUNTAIN PAC contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2022-07-18 NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2022-07-13 NATIONAL EMERGENCY MEDICINE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE / AMERICAN COLLEGE OF EMERGENCY PHYSICIANS contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2022-07-06 SOCIETY OF INTERVENTIONAL RADIOLOGY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE contributed_to $1,000 pas2 2022-06-30 NATIONAL MILK PRODUCERS FEDERATION PAC (NMPF PAC) contributed_to $1,000 pas2 2022-06-30 UPNORTH PAC contributed_to $1,000 pas2 2022-06-29 DLGA contributed_to $2,000 pas2 2022-06-22 INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2022-06-22 INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2022-04-28 AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC contributed_to $2,500 pas2 2022-03-31 CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE UNITED BROTHERHOOD OF CARPENTERS AND JOINERS contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2022-03-24 U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION PAC contributed_to $1,000 pas2 2022-03-22 AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAJ PAC) contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2022-03-15 MAC PAC contributed_to $1,000 pas2 2022-03-14 NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BROADCASTERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NABPAC) contributed_to $500 pas2 2022-03-08 AMERICAN CRYSTAL SUGAR COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2021-12-27 THE NEXT 50 PAC contributed_to $5,000 pas2
Outbound (1) date type to amount role source — principal_candidate_of MOLLY FOR VERMONT — candidate_committees
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