GUTHRIE, BRUCE
L Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2WA02151- Internal id
4e6707d2-86a1-4c96-be1e-7615799c79bc- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 781,265 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $90,029 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $49,099 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.455 |
| Race | White alone | 71.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 7.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 12.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 13.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 81.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.7% |
| Household | Family households | 61.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.43 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $616,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,700 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.9% |
Elections
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-20 | BRADFORD WHITE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COM⦠| 24K | $1,500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-20 | BRADFORD WHITE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE ('BWC PAC') | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 |