KENT, JOSEPH

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2WA03100
Internal id: b5ac791a-a653-4dc9-b424-cc736d8992d5
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-03. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	788,069
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$90,428
Income	Per-capita income	$45,092
Income	In poverty	9.3%
Income	Unemployed	5.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.434
Race	White alone	77.8%
Race	Black alone	1.7%
Race	Asian alone	3.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	11.7%
Race	Two or more races	11.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	8.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	86.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.6%
Education	High school or higher	55.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	28.9%
Education	Advanced degree	10.5%
Household	Family households	66.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.58
Household	Never married (15+)	29.4%
Housing	Median home value	$474,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,605
Housing	Single-family detached	68.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.1%
Housing	Vacant units	6.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.9%
Health	With a disability	15.5%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.9%
Commute	Drove alone	71.2%
Commute	Public transit	0.8%
Commute	Worked from home	16.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$84,998	$84,655	$-689	$80,000	$2,404
2024	$2,654,420	$2,708,358	$-1,032	$100,000	$326,851
2022	$3,816,390	$3,763,484	$52,906	$205,000	$3,098,250

Elections

2022 general house · WA-3 — lost_general
2024 general house · WA-3 — running

Committees

JOE KENT FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
JOE KENT FOR CONGRESS-GTM NF WA03 — principal · type H
JOE KENT FOR WA-03 REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2024 — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$971,326	$13,619,812	91
2022	$198,139	$3,567,488	67

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	HMP	oppose	$11,570	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$25,278	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$17,766	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$133,250	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$1,015,675	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$84,240	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	oppose	$820	Ad Production (Estimate)
—	VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	oppose	$10,500	IE-Kent-Text Messaging
—	HMP	oppose	$25,278	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	BOLD AMERICA	oppose	$187,000	Digital Ad Buy (Estimate)
—	HMP	oppose	$501,120	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$10,886	Media Production - Estimate
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	oppose	$759	Ad Production (Estimate)
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, A…	oppose	$2,500	Estimated Cost for Phone Banking
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$1,219	IE- KENT- DIGITAL MARKETING
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, A…	oppose	$3,764	Estimated Cost for Direct Mail Services
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$1,218	IE- KENT- TEXT MARKETING
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	oppose	$7,143	Ad Buy (Estimate)
—	HMP	oppose	$139,265	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$11,126	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$139,265	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	BOLD AMERICA	oppose	$12,500	Ad Production (Estimate)
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, A…	oppose	$44	Staff Time for Canvassing and Phone Banking 10/22-10/29
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	oppose	$902	Ad Production (Estimate)
—	HMP	oppose	$14,394	Media Production - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24A	$10,500
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, A…	24A	$67
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, A…	24A	$44
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, A…	24A	$45
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, A…	24A	$38
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, A…	24A	$53
—	#WALKAWAY CAMPAIGN PAC	24E	$25
2025-05-28	AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC	24K	$-5,000
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-12-15	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-12-09	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-12-06	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-11-26	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-11-22	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-11-17	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-11-17	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-11-17	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-11-17	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-11-17	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$1
2022-11-17	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-11-17	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-11-10	WINRED	24K	$-30
2022-11-10	WINRED	24K	$-50
2022-11-09	WINRED	24K	$0

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, AK, ID, HI, IN, KY	contributed_to	$53	pas2
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, AK, ID, HI, IN, KY	contributed_to	$67	pas2
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, AK, ID, HI, IN, KY	contributed_to	$45	pas2
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, AK, ID, HI, IN, KY	contributed_to	$38	pas2
—	VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$10,500	pas2
—	#WALKAWAY CAMPAIGN PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, AK, ID, HI, IN, KY	contributed_to	$44	pas2
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$15,749	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$501,120	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$25,278	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$84,240	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$25,278	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$104,025	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$14,394	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$25,278	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$25,278	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$456,831	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$104,025	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$25,278	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$25,278	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$1,015,675	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$11,570	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$25,278	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$963,857	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$940,248	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$15,749	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$25,278	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$940,248	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$104,025	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$456,831	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$133,250	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$17,766	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$456,831	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$11,570	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$10,886	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$14,394	fec_ies
—	BOLD AMERICA	opposes_independently	$12,500	fec_ies
—	BOLD AMERICA	opposes_independently	$187,000	fec_ies
—	VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	opposes_independently	$10,500	fec_ies
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	opposes_independently	$759	fec_ies
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	opposes_independently	$7,143	fec_ies
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	opposes_independently	$902	fec_ies
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	opposes_independently	$820	fec_ies
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, AK, ID, HI, IN, KY	opposes_independently	$2,500	fec_ies
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, AK, ID, HI, IN, KY	opposes_independently	$44	fec_ies
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ALLIANCE PAC , SERVING WA, AK, ID, HI, IN, KY	opposes_independently	$3,764	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$139,265	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$11,126	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$139,265	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$1,218	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$1,219	fec_ies
2025-05-28	AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2024-11-01	HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$62,377	fec_ies
2024-11-01	TOGETHER FOR PROGRESS 2024	opposes_independently	$30,000	fec_ies
2024-10-30	COLUMBIA NEIGHBORS PAC	opposes_independently	$72,279	fec_ies
2024-10-30	TOGETHER FOR PROGRESS 2024	opposes_independently	$24,000	fec_ies
2024-10-29	DCCC	opposes_independently	$90,000	fec_ies
2024-10-29	TOGETHER FOR PROGRESS 2024	opposes_independently	$4,751	fec_ies
2024-10-25	SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PAC	supports_independently	$12,000	fec_ies
2024-10-24	GOA VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$5,461	fec_ies
2024-10-24	SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA	supports_independently	$20,000	fec_ies
2024-10-23	NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$242	fec_ies
2024-10-23	TOGETHER FOR PROGRESS 2024	opposes_independently	$12,000	fec_ies
2024-10-22	PRO-CHOICE WOMEN	opposes_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
2024-10-21	GOA VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$16,477	fec_ies
2024-10-17	PATRIOTS FOR A BRIGHTER AMERICA	supports_independently	$9,600	fec_ies
2024-10-16	TOGETHER FOR PROGRESS 2024	opposes_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
2024-10-11	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$239	fec_ies
2024-10-11	PATRIOTS FOR A BRIGHTER AMERICA	supports_independently	$3,500	fec_ies
2024-10-11	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$4,834	fec_ies
2024-10-10	SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA	supports_independently	$7,120	fec_ies
2024-10-08	CHC BOLD PAC	opposes_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
2024-10-08	CHC BOLD PAC	opposes_independently	$9,350	fec_ies
2024-10-08	TOGETHER FOR PROGRESS 2024	opposes_independently	$130,000	fec_ies
2024-10-04	PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2024-10-04	PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2024-10-04	PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2024-10-03	CHC BOLD PAC	opposes_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
2024-10-03	SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA	supports_independently	$70,000	fec_ies
2024-10-03	PRO-CHOICE WOMEN	opposes_independently	$400,000	fec_ies
2024-10-03	DCCC	opposes_independently	$125,000	fec_ies
2024-10-03	DCCC	opposes_independently	$932,811	fec_ies
2024-10-02	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$1,625	fec_ies
2024-10-02	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$13	fec_ies
2024-10-02	TOGETHER FOR PROGRESS 2024	opposes_independently	$55,000	fec_ies
2024-10-01	DCCC	opposes_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2024-10-01	DCCC	opposes_independently	$15,670	fec_ies
2024-10-01	DCCC	opposes_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2024-10-01	DCCC	opposes_independently	$15,670	fec_ies
2024-09-26	DCCC	opposes_independently	$125,000	fec_ies
2024-09-26	DCCC	opposes_independently	$125,000	fec_ies
2024-09-26	DCCC	opposes_independently	$898,819	fec_ies
2024-09-26	DCCC	opposes_independently	$898,819	fec_ies
2024-09-25	TOGETHER FOR PROGRESS 2024	opposes_independently	$45,000	fec_ies
2024-09-19	DCCC	opposes_independently	$649,548	fec_ies
2024-09-19	DCCC	opposes_independently	$125,000	fec_ies
2024-09-19	DCCC	opposes_independently	$125,000	fec_ies
2024-09-19	DCCC	opposes_independently	$649,548	fec_ies
2024-09-17	DCCC	opposes_independently	$59,178	fec_ies
2024-09-17	DCCC	opposes_independently	$14,750	fec_ies

Outbound (3)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JOE KENT FOR WA-03 REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2024	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	JOE KENT FOR CONGRESS	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	JOE KENT FOR CONGRESS-GTM NF WA03	—	candidate_committees

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