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ST. JOHN, HEIDI

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2WA03126
Internal id
772915fc-7e23-4bc6-9196-ca023f77ae58
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-03. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation788,069
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$90,428
IncomePer-capita income$45,092
IncomeIn poverty9.3%
IncomeUnemployed5.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.434
RaceWhite alone77.8%
RaceBlack alone1.7%
RaceAsian alone3.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino11.7%
RaceTwo or more races11.1%
OriginForeign-born8.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home86.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.6%
EducationHigh school or higher55.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher28.9%
EducationAdvanced degree10.5%
HouseholdFamily households66.5%
HouseholdAvg household size2.58
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.4%
HousingMedian home value$474,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,605
HousingSingle-family detached68.7%
HousingBuilt before 19404.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.1%
HousingVacant units6.8%
ServiceVeterans (18+)8.9%
HealthWith a disability15.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.9%
CommuteDrove alone71.2%
CommutePublic transit0.8%
CommuteWorked from home16.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$1,056,995$1,056,995$0$0$1,044,604

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$931,924$010

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2022-07-22CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupport$22,833DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE
2022-07-18CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupport$45,904PLACED MEDIA: TV
2022-07-14CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupport$35,319DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE
2022-07-14CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupport$35,319DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE
2022-07-14CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupport$68,606DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE
2022-07-12CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupport$2,000PRODUCTION COST: RADIO
2022-07-12CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupport$10,000PRODUCTION COST: TV
2022-07-11CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupport$600,404PLACED MEDIA: TV
2022-07-11CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupport$53,239PLACED MEDIA: RADIO
2022-07-11CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupport$58,300PLACED MEDIA: CONNECTED TV

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-07-22CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICA24E$22,833
2022-07-18CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICA24E$45,904
2022-07-14CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICA24E$35,319
2022-07-14CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICA24E$68,606
2022-07-14CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICA24E$35,319
2022-07-12CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICA24E$2,000
2022-07-12CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICA24E$10,000
2022-07-11CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICA24E$600,404
2022-07-11CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICA24E$53,239
2022-07-11CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICA24E$58,300
2022-06-22HOME SCHOOL LEGAL DEFENSE ASSOCIATION ACTION PAC24K$5,000
2021-10-13EAGLE FORUM PAC24K$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (22)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-07-22CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupports_independently$22,833fec_ies
2022-07-22CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAcontributed_to$22,833pas2
2022-07-18CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupports_independently$45,904fec_ies
2022-07-18CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAcontributed_to$45,904pas2
2022-07-14CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupports_independently$35,319fec_ies
2022-07-14CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupports_independently$68,606fec_ies
2022-07-14CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupports_independently$35,319fec_ies
2022-07-14CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAcontributed_to$35,319pas2
2022-07-14CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAcontributed_to$68,606pas2
2022-07-14CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAcontributed_to$35,319pas2
2022-07-12CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAcontributed_to$10,000pas2
2022-07-12CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2022-07-12CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupports_independently$10,000fec_ies
2022-07-12CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupports_independently$2,000fec_ies
2022-07-11CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupports_independently$53,239fec_ies
2022-07-11CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAcontributed_to$600,404pas2
2022-07-11CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupports_independently$58,300fec_ies
2022-07-11CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAcontributed_to$53,239pas2
2022-07-11CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAcontributed_to$58,300pas2
2022-07-11CONSERVATIVES FOR A STRONGER AMERICAsupports_independently$600,404fec_ies
2022-06-22HOME SCHOOL LEGAL DEFENSE ASSOCIATION ACTION PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2021-10-13EAGLE FORUM PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofFRIENDS OF HEIDI ST. JOHNβ€”candidate_committees

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