PFAFF, BRAD

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2WI03122
Internal id: af097b60-3f2a-4de9-88f2-0c41b413db3e
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WI-03. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	739,573
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$72,409
Income	Per-capita income	$38,999
Income	In poverty	11.7%
Income	Unemployed	3.4%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.430
Race	White alone	90.0%
Race	Black alone	1.2%
Race	Asian alone	2.3%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	3.6%
Race	Two or more races	4.5%
Origin	Foreign-born	2.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	94.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	2.2%
Education	High school or higher	60.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	28.5%
Education	Advanced degree	9.5%
Household	Family households	60.2%
Household	Avg household size	2.34
Household	Never married (15+)	33.9%
Housing	Median home value	$233,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$966
Housing	Single-family detached	69.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.5%
Housing	Vacant units	10.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.2%
Health	With a disability	13.0%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.4%
Commute	Drove alone	76.3%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	11.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$12,297	$20,014	$9,250	$0	$0
2022	$1,890,261	$1,873,293	$16,967	$0	$1,642,874

Elections

2022 general house · WI-3 — lost_general

Committees

PFAFF FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$37,359	$390,442	28

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	support	$6,691	Printing & Shipping - Estimate
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$313	Phone Banking Services (Estimate)
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$1,674	Phone Bank (Estimate)
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$87	Phone Banking Services (Estimate)
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$467	Phone Bank (Estimate)
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$533	Canvassing Literature Printing, Production, and Shipping (E…
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$2,772	Canvassing Services (Estimate)
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$2,581	Canvassing Services (Estimate)
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$176	Canvassing Literature Printing, Production, and Shipping (E…
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	support	$1,065	Printing & Shipping - Estimate
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$915	Canvassing Services (Estimate)
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$178	Canvassing Literature Printing, Production, and Shipping (E…
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$924	Canvassing Services (Estimate)
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$765	Canvassing Literature Printing, Production, and Shipping (E…
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$884	Digital Advertising (Estimate)
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$2,296	Canvassing Literature Printing, Production, and Shipping (E…
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$7,744	Canvassing Services (Estimate)
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$72	Digital Communications Services (Estimate)
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$2,000	Digital Advertising (Estimate)
2022-10-25	NRCC	oppose	$5,000	MEDIA
2022-10-21	NRCC	oppose	$57,744	MEDIA
2022-10-18	NRCC	oppose	$300	MEDIA
2022-10-18	NRCC	oppose	$23,500	MEDIA
2022-10-14	NRCC	oppose	$47,058	MEDIA
2022-10-14	NRCC	oppose	$231,840	MEDIA

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	24E	$1,119
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	24E	$467
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	24E	$1,065
2022-11-08	HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN	24F	$232
2022-11-08	HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC	24Z	$202
2022-11-07	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL…	24K	$2,500
2022-11-06	CLF	24A	$1,250
2022-11-04	FOR OUR FUTURE	24E	$141
2022-11-04	FOR OUR FUTURE	24E	$914
2022-11-02	SHORE PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-02	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	24E	$6,691
2022-11-02	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	24E	$1,065
2022-11-01	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONA…	24K	$2,500
2022-11-01	SHEET METAL & AIR CONDITIONING CONTRACTORS' NAT…	24K	$2,000
2022-10-31	MAD 4 PA PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	24K	$10
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-10-29	FOR OUR FUTURE	24E	$615
2022-10-29	FOR OUR FUTURE	24E	$2,617
2022-10-28	UAW NATIONAL CAP	24F	$1,031
2022-10-27	COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITI…	24K	$2,500
2022-10-26	WISCONSIN LABORERS' DISTRICT COUNCIL	24F	$452
2022-10-25	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ACTION FUND INC PAC, DBA PLA…	24K	$2,500
2022-10-25	NRCC	24A	$5,000
2022-10-24	UNITED STEELWORKERS POLITICAL ACTION FUND	24K	$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,065	pas2
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$467	pas2
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$1,119	pas2
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$1,065	fec_ies
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$6,691	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$2,296	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$7,744	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$72	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$2,000	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$313	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$1,674	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$87	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$467	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$533	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$2,581	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$176	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$2,772	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$178	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$924	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$765	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$884	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$915	fec_ies
2022-11-08	HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC	contributed_to	$202	pas2
2022-11-08	HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN FUND	contributed_to	$232	pas2
2022-11-07	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES P E O P L E	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-11-06	CLF	contributed_to	$1,250	pas2
2022-11-04	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$914	pas2
2022-11-04	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$141	pas2
2022-11-02	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,065	pas2
2022-11-02	SHORE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-02	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$6,691	pas2
2022-11-01	SHEET METAL & AIR CONDITIONING CONTRACTORS' NATIONAL ASSOC., INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-01	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION ACTIVE BALLOT CLUB	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-31	MAD 4 PA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-29	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$615	pas2
2022-10-29	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$2,617	pas2
2022-10-28	UAW NATIONAL CAP	contributed_to	$1,031	pas2
2022-10-27	COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-26	WISCONSIN LABORERS' DISTRICT COUNCIL	contributed_to	$452	pas2
2022-10-25	NRCC	opposes_independently	$5,000	fec_ies
2022-10-25	NRCC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-25	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ACTION FUND INC PAC, DBA PLANNED PARENTHOOD FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-24	UNITED STEELWORKERS POLITICAL ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-24	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$42	pas2
2022-10-21	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$2,117	pas2
2022-10-21	NRCC	contributed_to	$57,744	pas2
2022-10-21	NRCC	opposes_independently	$57,744	fec_ies
2022-10-21	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$142	pas2
2022-10-21	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$923	pas2
2022-10-21	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FIREFIGHTERS INTERESTED IN REGISTRATION AND EDUCATION PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-21	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$2,117	pas2
2022-10-20	DCCC	contributed_to	$75,000	pas2
2022-10-20	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$467	pas2
2022-10-19	AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$1,419	pas2
2022-10-19	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$417	pas2
2022-10-19	AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$31	pas2
2022-10-18	INLAND EMPIRE STRIKES PAC; THE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-18	NRCC	opposes_independently	$23,500	fec_ies
2022-10-18	NRCC	opposes_independently	$300	fec_ies
2022-10-18	NRCC	contributed_to	$300	pas2
2022-10-18	NRCC	contributed_to	$23,500	pas2
2022-10-17	WISCONSIN LABORERS' DISTRICT COUNCIL	contributed_to	$382	pas2
2022-10-17	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION INSTITUTE FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION	contributed_to	$162	pas2
2022-10-17	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION INSTITUTE FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-17	AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$21	pas2
2022-10-17	AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$31	pas2
2022-10-17	AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$62	pas2
2022-10-16	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$1,772	pas2
2022-10-16	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$2,295	pas2
2022-10-14	NRCC	opposes_independently	$47,058	fec_ies
2022-10-14	NRCC	opposes_independently	$231,840	fec_ies
2022-10-14	LOFGREN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-14	NRCC	contributed_to	$231,840	pas2
2022-10-14	NRCC	contributed_to	$47,058	pas2
2022-10-13	HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-13	D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF THE INT'L BRHD OF TEAMSTERS)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-13	PEOPLE'S VOICE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-12	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-12	AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$7,174	pas2
2022-10-11	MOORE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-10	AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$15	pas2
2022-10-07	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$533	pas2
2022-10-07	IRON PAC	contributed_to	$75	pas2
2022-10-07	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$634	pas2
2022-10-06	OFFICE AND PROFESSIONAL EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION (OPEIU) JB MOSS VOICE OF THE ELECTORATE (VOTE)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-05	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$19	pas2
2022-10-04	MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-03	AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$15	pas2
2022-10-03	AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$18	pas2
2022-10-03	AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$18	pas2
2022-10-01	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$1,119	pas2
2022-10-01	AFSCME WORKING FAMILIES FUND	contributed_to	$750	pas2
2022-09-30	INTERNATIONAL UNION OF PAINTERS AND ALLIED TRADES POLITICAL ACTION TOGETHER POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-30	MOORE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-30	MADISON PAC; THE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-30	SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-09-30	OLSSON FRANK WEEDA TERMAN MATZ PC PAC	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-09-30	FAIR SHOT PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	PFAFF FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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