MCGRATH, DEB

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2WI03148
Internal id: cd450b5d-8138-47f0-82a9-2ddbcf27f76c
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WI-03. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	739,573
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$72,409
Income	Per-capita income	$38,999
Income	In poverty	11.7%
Income	Unemployed	3.4%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.430
Race	White alone	90.0%
Race	Black alone	1.2%
Race	Asian alone	2.3%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	3.6%
Race	Two or more races	4.5%
Origin	Foreign-born	2.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	94.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	2.2%
Education	High school or higher	60.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	28.5%
Education	Advanced degree	9.5%
Household	Family households	60.2%
Household	Avg household size	2.34
Household	Never married (15+)	33.9%
Housing	Median home value	$233,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$966
Housing	Single-family detached	69.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.5%
Housing	Vacant units	10.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.2%
Health	With a disability	13.0%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.4%
Commute	Drove alone	76.3%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	11.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$738,056	$738,956	$0	$0	$661,181

Elections

2022 general house · WI-3 — lost_general

Committees

DEB MCGRATH FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-08-30	VOTEVETS	24K	$-5,000
2022-06-28	CHERPAC	24K	$1,000
2022-06-23	VOTEVETS	24K	$5,000
2022-06-16	WITH HONOR PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-06-14	SERVE AMERICA PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-06-09	ELECT DEMOCRATIC WOMEN	24K	$2,500
2022-03-28	SERVE AMERICA PAC	24K	$3,000
2022-03-21	VOTEVETS	24K	$2,500
2022-03-15	FAIR GAME PAC	24K	$2,500
2022-03-14	ELECT DEMOCRATIC WOMEN	24K	$2,500
2021-12-21	HONOR BOUND PAC	24K	$2,900
2021-12-09	VOTEVETS	24K	$2,500
2021-11-04	FAIR GAME PAC	24K	$500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (13)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-08-30	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-06-28	CHERPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-23	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-06-16	WITH HONOR PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-06-14	SERVE AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-09	ELECT DEMOCRATIC WOMEN	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-28	SERVE AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-03-21	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-15	FAIR GAME PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-14	ELECT DEMOCRATIC WOMEN	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-12-21	HONOR BOUND PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2021-12-09	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-11-04	FAIR GAME PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	DEB MCGRATH FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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