VONDERSAAR, FRANK J
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4AK00057- Internal id
83bfadda-2e84-4a26-9321-6a7b96454beb- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $500 | $400 | $100 | $500 | $0 |
| 2012 | $1,109 | $1,110 | $0 | $0 | $9 |
| 2004 | $800 | $799 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $885 | $884 | $0 | $212 | $0 |
| 1994 | $1,100 | $1,100 | $0 | $149 | $0 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- ALASKANS FOR VONDERSAAR β principal Β· type H
- ALASKANS FOR VONDERSAAR β principal Β· type H
- VONDERSAAR FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- VONDERSAAR FOR US HOUSE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (4)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | VONDERSAAR FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | VONDERSAAR FOR US HOUSE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ALASKANS FOR VONDERSAAR | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ALASKANS FOR VONDERSAAR | β | candidate_committees |