HOLCOMB, JUSTIN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4AL04036- Internal id
1449af7a-d9dc-4745-a773-00689cd0a0ef- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AL-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 727,005 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $61,167 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $32,503 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.460 |
| Race | White alone | 82.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 21.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.2% |
| Household | Family households | 67.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.56 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 26.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $180,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $816 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 18.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 85.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 11.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 82.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 5.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $6,200 | $4,616 | $0 | $0 | $1,700 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· AL-4 β lost_general
Committees
- JUSTIN HOLCOMB FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JUSTIN HOLCOMB FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |