BOWE, LINDSAY
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4AZ02176- Internal id
b0bdefab-4fe9-43b3-a97b-cd8b5ff5ddd7- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 826,257 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $67,729 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,854 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.458 |
| Race | White alone | 58.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 78.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 53.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.2% |
| Household | Family households | 64.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.49 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $345,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,254 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 18.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 85.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 11.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $9,620 | $9,624 | $-4 | $0 | $4,425 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· AZ-2 β lost_general
Committees
- LINDSAY FOR ARIZONA β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | LINDSAY FOR ARIZONA | β | candidate_committees |