TERAN, RAQUEL
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4AZ03117- Internal id
e86f17be-35ef-4f7b-a192-d7d494732d65- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 815,927 |
| People | Median age | 31 |
| Income | Median household income | $68,202 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $29,529 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.443 |
| Race | White alone | 29.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 63.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 35.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 25.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 48.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 47.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 48.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 20.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.8% |
| Household | Family households | 65.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.00 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 47.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $344,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,464 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 58.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 9.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 64.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.7% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· AZ-3 β lost_general
Committees
- AQUI ESTAMOS PAC β independent Β· type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $3,586,451 | $796,620 | 75 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | VOTAR ES PODER PAC | support | $454 | IE - Teran - Canvass Literature |
| β | VOTAR ES PODER PAC | support | $2,109 | IE - Teran - Paid Canvassing |
| β | VOTAR ES PODER PAC | support | $274 | IE - Teran - Paid Canvassing |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | support | $1,400 | Ad Production- Estimate |
| β | VICTORY PAC | support | $503,720 | Canvassing |
| β | VOTAR ES PODER PAC | support | $5,549 | IE - Teran - Paid Canvassing |
| β | VICTORY PAC | support | $4,475 | Printing - Estimate |
| β | VICTORY PAC | support | $1,050 | Design |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | support | $850 | Ad Production- Estimate |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | support | $1,400 | Ad Production- Estimate |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | support | $750 | Ad Production- Estimate |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | support | $8,000 | Ad Production- Estimate |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | support | $1,000 | Ad Production- Estimate |
| β | DMFI PAC | oppose | $13,516 | Digital Advertising Buy: Amount Previously Reported on 7/12β¦ |
| β | DMFI PAC | oppose | $10,000 | Estimated Digital Advertising Production |
| β | VICTORY PAC | support | $566,469 | Canvassing - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | support | $6,000 | Ad Production- Estimate |
| β | VICTORY PAC | support | $1,500 | Design - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | support | $1,600 | Website Design |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | support | $1,500 | Ad Design-Estimate |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | support | $1,600 | Website Design |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | support | $1,500 | Ad Design-Estimate |
| β | NEA ADVOCACY FUND | support | $70,015 | Radio Ads |
| β | NEA ADVOCACY FUND | support | $58,015 | Canvassing/Phone banks |
| β | VOTAR ES PODER PAC | support | $63,068 | IE - Teran - Paid Canvassing (estimate) |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | 24E | $2,600 |
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | 24E | $220 |
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | 24E | $859 |
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | 24E | $50 |
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | 24E | $3,500 |
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | 24E | $3,000 |
| 2025-04-02 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24E | $206 |
| 2025-02-18 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | 24E | $1,125 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (83)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $503,720 | fec_ies | |
| β | VOTAR ES PODER PAC | supports_independently | $1,958 | fec_ies | |
| β | VOTAR ES PODER PAC | supports_independently | $63,068 | fec_ies | |
| β | VOTAR ES PODER PAC | supports_independently | $2,109 | fec_ies | |
| β | VOTAR ES PODER PAC | supports_independently | $5,549 | fec_ies | |
| β | VOTAR ES PODER PAC | supports_independently | $454 | fec_ies | |
| β | VOTAR ES PODER PAC | supports_independently | $274 | fec_ies | |
| β | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $566,469 | fec_ies | |
| β | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $4,475 | fec_ies | |
| β | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $1,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $1,050 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $850 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $750 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $1,600 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $1,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $1,600 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $1,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $1,400 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $1,400 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $8,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $6,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | NEA ADVOCACY FUND | supports_independently | $58,015 | fec_ies | |
| β | NEA ADVOCACY FUND | supports_independently | $70,015 | fec_ies | |
| β | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $13,516 | fec_ies | |
| β | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | contributed_to | $3,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | contributed_to | $859 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | contributed_to | $2,600 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-10 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | contributed_to | $220 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-02 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $206 | pas2 | |
| 2025-02-18 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | contributed_to | $1,125 | pas2 | |
| 2024-07-28 | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $800 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-26 | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-26 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $34,511 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-25 | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $150,622 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-25 | MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC | opposes_independently | $5,919 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-25 | DMFI PAC | opposes_independently | $5,919 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-24 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $220 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-24 | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $502 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-23 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $50 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-22 | CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC | supports_independently | $32,365 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-22 | CHC BOLD PAC | supports_independently | $2,346 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-19 | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $3,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-19 | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-18 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $130,357 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-18 | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-18 | CHC BOLD PAC | supports_independently | $250,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-17 | CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC | supports_independently | $30,591 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-17 | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $4,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-16 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $1,400 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-16 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $2,600 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-15 | MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC | opposes_independently | $337,016 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-15 | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $200,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-15 | MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC | opposes_independently | $273,629 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-13 | NEA ADVOCACY FUND | supports_independently | $58,015 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-12 | UNIDOSUS ACTION FUND, INC. | supports_independently | $4,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-12 | CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC | supports_independently | $30,591 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-10 | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $43,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-09 | CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC | supports_independently | $30,591 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-08 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $72,570 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-02 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $3,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-28 | MEDICARE FOR ALL | supports_independently | $4,860 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-28 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $37,812 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-28 | CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC | supports_independently | $30,591 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-28 | CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC | supports_independently | $4,860 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-28 | CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC | supports_independently | $33,081 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-27 | MEDICARE FOR ALL | supports_independently | $95,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-26 | CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC | supports_independently | $105,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-25 | CHC BOLD PAC | supports_independently | $218,801 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-19 | NEA ADVOCACY FUND | supports_independently | $70,015 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-18 | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $148,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-18 | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $108,055 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-17 | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $1,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-17 | PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL | supports_independently | $1,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-12 | MEDICARE FOR ALL | supports_independently | $64,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-12 | MEDICARE FOR ALL | supports_independently | $5,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-12 | CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC | supports_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-05 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $3,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-24 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $60,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-27 | VICTORY SUPER PAC, INC. | supports_independently | $4,860 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | AQUI ESTAMOS PAC | β | candidate_committees |