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KASSEL, JASON SETH

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4CA05265
Internal id
d4747300-4426-4d39-a788-c7fc8400d48e
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-05. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation772,813
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$92,960
IncomePer-capita income$47,474
IncomeIn poverty10.1%
IncomeUnemployed6.0%
IncomeGini inequality index0.463
RaceWhite alone63.1%
RaceBlack alone2.5%
RaceAsian alone6.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino27.4%
RaceTwo or more races17.4%
OriginForeign-born12.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home78.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home13.6%
EducationHigh school or higher55.1%
EducationBachelor's or higher31.5%
EducationAdvanced degree11.2%
HouseholdFamily households69.4%
HouseholdAvg household size2.64
HouseholdNever married (15+)30.4%
HousingMedian home value$491,000
HousingMedian gross rent$1,698
HousingSingle-family detached77.3%
HousingBuilt before 19402.8%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.8%
HousingVacant units11.9%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.6%
HealthWith a disability14.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.5%
CommuteDrove alone73.5%
CommutePublic transit0.6%
CommuteWorked from home13.9%

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofKASSEL FOR CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees

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