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WONG, TIMOTHY

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4CA11156
Internal id
45fe3164-a643-4c06-a130-076050d25be6
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-11. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation719,712
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$143,154
IncomePer-capita income$98,683
IncomeIn poverty11.4%
IncomeUnemployed6.0%
IncomeGini inequality index0.526
RaceWhite alone42.8%
RaceBlack alone5.1%
RaceAsian alone31.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino15.0%
RaceTwo or more races12.3%
OriginForeign-born31.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home60.0%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home10.0%
EducationHigh school or higher74.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher64.2%
EducationAdvanced degree27.8%
HouseholdFamily households43.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.10
HouseholdNever married (15+)46.7%
HousingMedian home value$1,507,800
HousingMedian gross rent$2,496
HousingSingle-family detached15.3%
HousingBuilt before 19407.6%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)5.4%
HousingVacant units12.9%
ServiceVeterans (18+)2.6%
HealthWith a disability12.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.4%
CommuteDrove alone26.5%
CommutePublic transit18.4%
CommuteWorked from home32.9%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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