GAGNIER, CHRISTINA
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4CA35049- Internal id
7d071852-a518-4fa9-ad6f-21ae3dfe30bd- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-35. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 764,518 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $91,136 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $33,155 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.412 |
| Race | White alone | 21.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 12.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 65.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 22.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 28.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 44.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 45.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 50.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 23.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.0% |
| Household | Family households | 78.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.36 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 40.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $614,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,991 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 59.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 12.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2014 | $82,379 | $82,379 | $0 | $10,000 | $61,533 |
Elections
- 2014 general house Β· CA-35 β lost_general
Committees
- GAGNIER FOR CONGRESS 2014 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | GAGNIER FOR CONGRESS 2014 | β | candidate_committees |