PENNA, KYLE CHRISTIAN
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4CA41161- Internal id
b0a3ac04-b8aa-4dbd-8f1a-2465ac0f5627- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-41. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 797,949 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $103,180 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,539 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.454 |
| Race | White alone | 47.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 40.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 18.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 66.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 25.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.4% |
| Household | Family households | 72.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.94 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $626,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,976 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 16.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.9% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· CA-41 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.