JOYA, ANALILIA
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4CA44157- Internal id
277bdc44-fa65-4cc3-ad4b-3e780a470b79- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-44. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 744,757 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $85,696 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,714 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.445 |
| Race | White alone | 24.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 12.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 61.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 22.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 32.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 40.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 48.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 47.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 23.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.5% |
| Household | Family households | 73.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.20 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 43.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $694,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,741 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 53.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 16.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 15.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.7% |
Elections
- 2014 general house Β· CA-44 β lost_general
- 2016 general house Β· CA-44 β lost_general
- 2020 general house Β· CA-44 β running
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT ANALILIA JOYA FOR US REPRESENATIVE OF THE 44TH DISTRICT 2014; THE β principal Β· type H
- JOYA FOR CONGRESS 2016 β principal Β· type H
- JOYA FOR CONGRESS 44TH DISTRICT β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT ANALILIA JOYA FOR US REPRESENATIVE OF THE 44TH DISTRICT 2014; THE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOYA FOR CONGRESS 44TH DISTRICT | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOYA FOR CONGRESS 2016 | β | candidate_committees |