BILBRAY, BRIAN PHILLIP
R Β· house Β· bioguide B000461
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- FEC candidate id
H4CA49032- Internal id
08bca401-9696-48ab-acfe-2c7d263e78b9- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-52. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 757,541 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $86,750 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,210 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.439 |
| Race | White alone | 23.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 7.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 14.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 60.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 30.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 31.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 40.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 47.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 50.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.9% |
| Household | Family households | 75.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.21 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 39.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $690,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,934 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 50.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 12.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $5,078 | $27,914 | $22,814 | $0 | $0 |
| 2012 | $2,659,541 | $2,772,270 | $45,650 | $0 | $1,242,828 |
| 2010 | $1,207,757 | $1,104,328 | $158,379 | $0 | $740,492 |
| 2008 | $1,366,329 | $1,456,461 | $47,384 | $0 | $964,585 |
| 2006 | $2,559,740 | $2,620,353 | $137,516 | $77,315 | $1,195,661 |
| 2004 | $1,779 | $1,729 | $198,129 | $0 | $0 |
| 2002 | $12,681 | $85,258 | $198,079 | $0 | $5,400 |
| 2000 | $1,946,608 | $1,846,574 | $270,656 | $0 | $890,378 |
| 1998 | $1,374,070 | $1,278,210 | $171,076 | $0 | $655,061 |
| 1996 | $1,193,729 | $1,122,073 | $75,214 | $0 | $658,373 |
| 1994 | $754,211 | $750,654 | $3,558 | $67,939 | $558,983 |
Elections
- 1994 general house Β· CA-49 β won
- 1996 general house Β· CA-49 β won
- 1998 general house Β· CA-49 β won
- 2000 general house Β· CA-49 β won
- 2006 general house Β· CA-50 β won
- 2008 general house Β· CA-50 β won
- 2010 general house Β· CA-50 β won
- 2012 general house Β· CA-52 β lost_general
Committees
- BRIAN BILBRAY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- CA-50 CONGRESSIONAL VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- CALIFORNIA DELEGATION ROMP β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- GOOD TO GREAT VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- PATRIOT DAY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- PATRIOT DAY III β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- ROMP IV 2006 β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- SPIRIT OF '94 VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (8)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | GOOD TO GREAT VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | CA-50 CONGRESSIONAL VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | PATRIOT DAY III | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | CALIFORNIA DELEGATION ROMP | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | PATRIOT DAY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SPIRIT OF '94 VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ROMP IV 2006 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BRIAN BILBRAY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |