CAPLAN, STAN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4CA51095- Internal id
cf65af72-2236-4a6e-9023-e3020403e1e2- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-51. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 759,191 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $105,271 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,840 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.436 |
| Race | White alone | 50.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 16.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 25.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 17.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 22.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 65.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 16.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 46.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.8% |
| Household | Family households | 63.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.64 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $853,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,309 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 48.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 6.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.5% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· CA-51 β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.