DEMAIO, CARL
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4CA52051- Internal id
b7b4f466-e0b6-4a47-912c-541062df0466- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-52. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 757,541 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $86,750 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,210 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.439 |
| Race | White alone | 23.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 7.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 14.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 60.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 30.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 31.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 40.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 47.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 50.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.9% |
| Household | Family households | 75.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.21 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 39.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $690,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,934 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 50.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 12.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0 | $37,213 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $962 | $14,169 | $37,213 | $0 | $0 |
| 2016 | $1,707 | $10,380 | $50,420 | $0 | $0 |
| 2014 | $3,412,769 | $3,353,677 | $59,092 | $0 | $2,669,990 |
Elections
- 2014 general house Β· CA-52 β lost_general
Committees
- CALIFORNIA CONGRESSIONAL YOUNG GUNS VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- CALIFORNIA VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- CARL DEMAIO FOR CONGRESS 2014 β principal Β· type H
- EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- NEXT GENERATION LEADERSHIP FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- VICTORY CONGRESSIONAL FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- YOUNG GUNS DAY II 2014 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (7)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | CALIFORNIA VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | CALIFORNIA CONGRESSIONAL YOUNG GUNS VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | VICTORY CONGRESSIONAL FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | YOUNG GUNS DAY II 2014 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | NEXT GENERATION ACTION PAC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CARL DEMAIO FOR CONGRESS 2014 | β | candidate_committees |