PADORA, JOHN J JR.
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4CO04165- Internal id
692e082f-65da-4546-892a-3c96a37d9c19- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CO-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 756,186 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $115,239 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $57,035 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.441 |
| Race | White alone | 78.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 15.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 48.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.1% |
| Household | Family households | 71.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.62 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 26.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $602,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,855 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 75.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 23.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $93,920 | $87,965 | $9,501 | $16,116 | $92,175 |
| 2024 | $350,804 | $344,992 | $3,547 | $16,116 | $338,473 |
Elections
Committees
- PADORA FOR COLORADO β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee PADORA FOR COLORADO.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIXON, MARGARET | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | ARVADA, CO | 1 | $250 |
| KOREVAAR, DAVID | UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO BOULDER Β· PROFESSOR OF PIANO | BOULDER, CO | 1 | $250 |
| HASSEMER, JEFFREY | FIRESTARTER LABS Β· TECHNOLOGY | PAKER, CO | 1 | $199 |
| GRAVES, RYAN | BANNER HEALTH Β· PHYSICIAN | WINDSOR, CO | 1 | $100 |
| SIMMONS, SCOTT | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | WINDSOR, CO | 1 | $50 |
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | PADORA FOR COLORADO | β | candidate_committees |