MCMANUS, GARY
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4FL04076- Internal id
40acac09-f9e8-4a4c-8c8e-74fbbdbe4b47- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 797,286 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,083 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,995 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 54.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 30.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.0% |
| Household | Family households | 65.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.54 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $285,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,359 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 12.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.1% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· FL-4 β lost_general
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT GARY MCMANUS TO US CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT GARY MCMANUS TO US CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |