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HEARTON, JOHN L MR.

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4FL08101
Internal id
63a52be5-a7cc-4140-bdee-932d6a478233
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-08. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation801,628
PeopleMedian age49
IncomeMedian household income$77,332
IncomePer-capita income$45,000
IncomeIn poverty10.4%
IncomeUnemployed4.7%
IncomeGini inequality index0.467
RaceWhite alone73.9%
RaceBlack alone9.5%
RaceAsian alone2.3%
RaceHispanic or Latino12.6%
RaceTwo or more races10.6%
OriginForeign-born9.8%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home87.4%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home8.1%
EducationHigh school or higher60.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher34.1%
EducationAdvanced degree13.8%
HouseholdFamily households63.1%
HouseholdAvg household size2.40
HouseholdNever married (15+)27.2%
HousingMedian home value$342,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,518
HousingSingle-family detached65.9%
HousingBuilt before 19400.6%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.5%
HousingVacant units14.8%
ServiceVeterans (18+)11.9%
HealthWith a disability16.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.0%
CommuteDrove alone74.1%
CommutePublic transit0.6%
CommuteWorked from home14.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$8,425$9,178$243,513$0
2024$379,856$362,253$17,603$251,354$32,410

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofHEARTON FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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