MONTAVON, MATTHEW
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4FL17060- Internal id
83ba51f4-028b-4b42-afc2-0d489a1b3e2a- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-17. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 828,650 |
| People | Median age | 55 |
| Income | Median household income | $76,106 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $48,835 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.488 |
| Race | White alone | 77.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 15.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 14.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 82.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 11.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.5% |
| Household | Family households | 64.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.26 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 22.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $364,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,701 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 62.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 20.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $75,409 | $35,061 | $40,348 | $25,000 | $42,180 |
| 2024 | $69,457 | $69,136 | $0 | $0 | $27,793 |
Elections
Committees
- MONTAVON FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- MONTAVON FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MONTAVON FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | MONTAVON FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |