BAEZ-GELLER, LUCIA
D Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H4FL27010- Internal id
80194f2c-9753-4baf-b764-fa4755189d39- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-27. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 764,988 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $78,952 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $51,928 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.548 |
| Race | White alone | 30.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 73.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 54.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 54.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 24.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 70.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 43.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.3% |
| Household | Family households | 62.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.53 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 35.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $579,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,883 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 38.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 65.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 4.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3,987 | $16,359 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $654,171 | $641,799 | $12,372 | $0 | $592,776 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· FL-27 β lost_general
Committees
- LUCIA BAEZ-GELLER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION P⦠| 24K | $-5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | LUCIA BAEZ-GELLER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |