DUGAN, MICHAEL
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4GA03068- Internal id
4feac413-8326-4273-a20b-b76113c36eb5- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), GA-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 785,402 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $78,956 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,025 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.461 |
| Race | White alone | 64.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 23.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.5% |
| Household | Family households | 71.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.68 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $291,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,189 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 78.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $769,169 | $769,169 | $0 | $0 | $705,278 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· GA-3 β lost_general
Committees
- MIKE DUGAN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $42,440 | 8 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-15 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $100 | Phone/Text Messaging (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-06-14 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $9,688 | Phone/Text Messaging |
| 2024-06-14 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $67 | Phone/Text Messaging |
| 2024-06-14 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $6,894 | Phone/Text Messaging |
| 2024-06-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $73 | Door to Door program (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-06-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $100 | Door to Door program |
| 2024-06-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $4,908 | Door hangers |
| 2024-06-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $20,611 | Door to Door program |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (8)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-15 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $100 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $6,894 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $9,688 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-14 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $67 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $20,611 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $73 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $100 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $4,908 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MIKE DUGAN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |