SMITH, BRYAN
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H4ID02063- Internal id
f4f28b54-cf11-402f-9722-8ca4bb0235be- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), ID-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 947,982 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,805 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,598 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 80.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.6% |
| Household | Family households | 66.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.63 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $386,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,183 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $75 | $13,520 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $897,465 | $884,020 | $13,445 | $500,000 | $343,589 |
| 2014 | $854,072 | $854,030 | $42 | $0 | $758,418 |
Elections
Committees
- BRYAN SMITH FOR CONGRESS INC β principal Β· type H
- BRYAN SMITH FOR IDAHO INC. β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $276,515 | $0 | 8 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | support | $3,250 | media production |
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | support | $6 | media production |
| 2022-05-09 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | support | $45,000 | media placement |
| 2022-04-26 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | support | $87,500 | media placement |
| 2022-04-20 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | support | $3,250 | media production |
| 2022-04-20 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | support | $8 | media production |
| 2022-04-20 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | support | $119,000 | media placement |
| 2022-04-18 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | support | $18,500 | media placement |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-17 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | 24E | $4,639 |
| 2022-05-11 | DEFENDING MAIN STREET SUPERPAC INC. | 24A | $20,000 |
| 2022-05-11 | DEFENDING MAIN STREET SUPERPAC INC. | 24A | $142,500 |
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | 24E | $6 |
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | 24E | $3,250 |
| 2022-05-09 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | 24E | $45,000 |
| 2022-04-26 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | 24E | $87,500 |
| 2022-04-20 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | 24E | $3,250 |
| 2022-04-20 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | 24E | $119,000 |
| 2022-04-20 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | 24E | $8 |
| 2022-04-18 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | 24E | $18,500 |
| 2022-04-18 | CAMPAIGN FOR WORKING FAMILIES | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-03-01 | ACPAC ACA INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT⦠| 24K | $1,000 |
| 2021-10-02 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (22)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-17 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | contributed_to | $4,639 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-11 | DEFENDING MAIN STREET SUPERPAC INC. | contributed_to | $142,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-11 | DEFENDING MAIN STREET SUPERPAC INC. | contributed_to | $20,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | contributed_to | $3,250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | supports_independently | $6 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | contributed_to | $6 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | supports_independently | $3,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-09 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | contributed_to | $45,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-09 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | supports_independently | $45,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-26 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | supports_independently | $87,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-26 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | contributed_to | $87,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-20 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-20 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | supports_independently | $119,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-20 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | supports_independently | $3,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-20 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | contributed_to | $3,250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-20 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | supports_independently | $8 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-20 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | contributed_to | $119,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-18 | CAMPAIGN FOR WORKING FAMILIES | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-18 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | contributed_to | $18,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-18 | AMERICA PROUD PAC | supports_independently | $18,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-03-01 | ACPAC ACA INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BRYAN SMITH FOR IDAHO INC. | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BRYAN SMITH FOR CONGRESS INC | β | candidate_committees |