CONYEARS-ERVIN, MELISSA
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4IL07177- Internal id
9fc2755e-c37f-4f57-8356-301329537ffe- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 744,315 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $83,208 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $57,358 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 8.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.538 |
| Race | White alone | 32.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 40.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 17.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 15.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 75.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 13.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 48.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 22.3% |
| Household | Family households | 47.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.18 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 52.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $351,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,643 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 20.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 41.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 15.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 23.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $824,853 | $798,817 | $34,769 | $0 | $807,853 |
| 2024 | $738,803 | $730,070 | $8,733 | $0 | $723,981 |
Elections
Committees
- MELISSA CONYEARS-ERVIN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4,968,500 | $110,870 | 23 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $46,227 | GOTV Phone Calls |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $550,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $50,342 | DIRECT MAIL |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $50,342 | DIRECT MAIL |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $46,538 | DIRECT MAIL |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $90,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT/PRODUCTION |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $106,800 | MEDIA PLACEMENT/PRODUCTION |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $600,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $50,459 | DIRECT MAIL |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $42,108 | DIRECT MAIL |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $162,735 | Media Placement/Production |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $1,450,000 | Media Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $42,258 | Direct Mail |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $46,577 | Direct Mail |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $53,774 | GOTV Phone Calls |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $50,342 | Direct Mail |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $600,000 | Media Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $90,000 | Media Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $750,000 | Media Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $90,000 | Media Placement |
| 2026-03-11 | UNITED WE CAN | oppose | $55,000 | Estimated Cost - Digital Advertising |
| 2026-03-11 | UNITED WE CAN | oppose | $55,000 | Estimated Cost - Digital Advertising |
| 2026-03-10 | THE PEOPLE'S LOBBY | oppose | $870 | Billboard |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee MELISSA CONYEARS-ERVIN FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BARTLEY, J.P. | 4CC LLC Β· ATTORNEY | OAK PARK, IL | 1 | $2,000 |
| MCKEEVER, LESTER | WASHINGTON PITTMAN & MCKEEVER Β· CPA | CHICAGO, IL | 1 | $1,500 |
| ROGERS JR, LARRY | POWER ROGERS LLP Β· ATTORNEY | CHICAGO, IL | 1 | $1,500 |
| AGRA, HOLLY | MERCURY SKYLINE YACHT CHARTERS Β· EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN | PARK RIDGE, IL | 1 | $1,000 |
| STASCH, JULIA | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | CHICAGO, IL | 1 | $1,000 |
| KRUEGER, JOSH | SELF Β· REAL ESTATE | CHICAGO, IL | 1 | $1,000 |
| MOORE, GUINEVERE | SELF Β· ATTORNEY | CHICAGO, IL | 1 | $1,000 |
| ZOPP, ANDREA | CLEVELAND AVENUE Β· INVESTOR | CHICAGO, IL | 1 | $500 |
| FUDALEWICZ, MAGDALENA | CITY OF CHICAGO Β· CHIEF OF STAFF | CHICAGO, IL | 1 | $500 |
| LAPPING, SHALE | IPEX, INC. Β· INVESTOR | CHICAGO, IL | 1 | $500 |
| SCOTT, ZALDWAYNAKA | CSU Β· PRESIDENT | CHICAGO, IL | 1 | $500 |
| MILLSAP PARKER, ELAINE | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | CHICAGO, IL | 1 | $250 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (51)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $1,450,000 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $750,000 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $162,734 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $90,000 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $50,341 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $50,341 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $50,458 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $42,107 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $46,538 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $46,577 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $42,257 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $106,800 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $90,000 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $90,000 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $600,000 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $550,000 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $600,000 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $46,226 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $53,773 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | contributed_to | $50,341 | pas2 | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $90,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $550,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $50,342 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $50,342 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $46,538 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $90,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $106,800 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $600,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $50,459 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $42,108 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $162,735 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $1,450,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $42,258 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $46,577 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $53,774 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $50,342 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $600,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $90,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $750,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | supports_independently | $46,227 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-03-26 | MICHIGAN INDEPENDENT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-16 | THE PEOPLE'S LOBBY | contributed_to | $250 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-16 | THE PEOPLE'S LOBBY | contributed_to | $46 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-11 | UNITED WE CAN | contributed_to | $55,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-11 | UNITED WE CAN | opposes_independently | $55,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-03-11 | UNITED WE CAN | opposes_independently | $55,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-03-10 | THE PEOPLE'S LOBBY | contributed_to | $870 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-10 | THE PEOPLE'S LOBBY | opposes_independently | $870 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-03-09 | TO PROTECT OUR HERITAGE PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-09 | SUN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-15 | ELECT DEMOCRATIC WOMEN | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MELISSA CONYEARS-ERVIN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |