CARRIS, JIM
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4IL10098- Internal id
3f57ca45-c923-4299-8fb8-c8a2d7295063- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-10. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 753,708 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $107,371 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $59,487 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.502 |
| Race | White alone | 61.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 24.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 19.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 68.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 18.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 47.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 20.4% |
| Household | Family households | 70.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.66 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $342,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,477 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 65.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $680,779 | $680,779 | $0 | $0 | $659,770 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· IL-10 β lost_general
Committees
- CARRIS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $11,814 | $0 | 3 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-05 | THE FREEDOM FORWARD FUND | support | $3,861 | Digital Advertising |
| 2024-10-30 | THE FREEDOM FORWARD FUND | support | $3,926 | Digital Advertising |
| 2024-10-24 | THE FREEDOM FORWARD FUND | support | $4,027 | Digital Advertising |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-05 | THE FREEDOM FORWARD FUND | supports_independently | $3,861 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-30 | THE FREEDOM FORWARD FUND | supports_independently | $3,926 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-24 | THE FREEDOM FORWARD FUND | supports_independently | $4,027 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CARRIS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |