NEWMAN, CHANCE WILLIAM
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4IL11286- Internal id
dc50c169-5798-4e9c-94a5-a29ef98f7ea4- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-11. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 754,751 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $109,255 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $53,193 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.440 |
| Race | White alone | 65.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 19.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 16.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 75.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 13.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 45.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.1% |
| Household | Family households | 70.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.66 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $345,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,627 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.0% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· IL-11 β lost_general
Committees
- CHANCE NEWMAN'S: CHUNDER FORCE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CHANCE NEWMAN'S: CHUNDER FORCE | β | candidate_committees |