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SONNIER, SCOTT RYAN

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4LA06195
Internal id
03b6dafe-b812-49bd-a9d6-b472d7c5bbb1
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), LA-06. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation757,854
PeopleMedian age36
IncomeMedian household income$48,696
IncomePer-capita income$29,241
IncomeIn poverty25.0%
IncomeUnemployed8.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.506
RaceWhite alone37.0%
RaceBlack alone53.2%
RaceAsian alone1.5%
RaceHispanic or Latino4.9%
RaceTwo or more races5.3%
OriginForeign-born3.8%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home93.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home3.3%
EducationHigh school or higher57.7%
EducationBachelor's or higher22.7%
EducationAdvanced degree8.8%
HouseholdFamily households59.5%
HouseholdAvg household size2.47
HouseholdNever married (15+)43.7%
HousingMedian home value$177,900
HousingMedian gross rent$967
HousingSingle-family detached65.5%
HousingBuilt before 19405.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.1%
HousingVacant units16.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.5%
HealthWith a disability17.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband84.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet12.6%
CommuteDrove alone78.6%
CommutePublic transit1.2%
CommuteWorked from home6.4%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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