KELLY, DANIEL
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4MA08054- Internal id
6acefd0c-16a9-483f-8fd9-2f6615d9765a- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MA-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 781,306 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $118,565 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $67,233 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.481 |
| Race | White alone | 66.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 9.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 20.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 74.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 73.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 53.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 23.4% |
| Household | Family households | 58.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 39.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $638,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,161 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 44.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 55.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 10.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.5% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· MA-8 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.