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MOORE, BRYAN SCOTT

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4MD02216
Internal id
5e2a8e12-c552-410b-aecb-83b74013ffd8
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MD-02. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation771,118
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$99,849
IncomePer-capita income$52,459
IncomeIn poverty8.2%
IncomeUnemployed4.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.451
RaceWhite alone60.1%
RaceBlack alone24.8%
RaceAsian alone5.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino6.4%
RaceTwo or more races6.4%
OriginForeign-born11.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home86.0%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home3.9%
EducationHigh school or higher68.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher46.2%
EducationAdvanced degree21.0%
HouseholdFamily households64.1%
HouseholdAvg household size2.48
HouseholdNever married (15+)34.8%
HousingMedian home value$381,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,641
HousingSingle-family detached50.5%
HousingBuilt before 19404.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.8%
HousingVacant units5.0%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.9%
HealthWith a disability11.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.7%
CommuteDrove alone69.3%
CommutePublic transit1.9%
CommuteWorked from home18.1%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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