VOGEL, JOSEPH
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4MD06225- Internal id
a51d8745-25e2-4707-b0e9-a02b9f4c0d0e- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MD-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 796,669 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $102,585 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $49,271 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.434 |
| Race | White alone | 60.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 18.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 76.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 11.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.6% |
| Household | Family households | 68.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.63 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $405,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,644 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 55.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 66.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4,800 | $8,690 | $3,225 | $19,500 | $0 |
| 2024 | $814,885 | $807,770 | $7,115 | $19,500 | $652,944 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· MD-6 β lost_general
Committees
- VOGEL FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $422,897 | $0 | 14 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-07 | EQUALITY PAC | support | $15,000 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-05-06 | EQUALITY PAC | support | $29,394 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-05-06 | EQUALITY PAC | support | $8,846 | Digital Production |
| 2024-05-06 | EQUALITY PAC | support | $100,000 | Television Advertisements |
| 2024-05-02 | EQUALITY PAC | support | $29,000 | Online Advertisements |
| 2024-05-01 | EQUALITY PAC | support | $21,670 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-04-25 | EQUALITY PAC | support | $32,845 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-04-25 | EQUALITY PAC | support | $29,000 | Online Advertisements |
| 2024-04-23 | COMMON SENSE COMMON GROUND PAC | support | $16,412 | Direct Mail - Estimated Payment Amount |
| 2024-04-23 | COMMON SENSE COMMON GROUND PAC | support | $16,412 | Direct Mail - Estimated Payment Amount |
| 2024-04-16 | EQUALITY PAC | support | $29,000 | Online Advertisements |
| 2024-04-10 | EQUALITY PAC | support | $33,476 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-04-09 | EQUALITY PAC | support | $29,000 | Online Advertisements |
| 2024-03-30 | EQUALITY PAC | support | $32,845 | Direct Mail |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (14)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-07 | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | supports_independently | $15,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-06 | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | supports_independently | $29,394 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-06 | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | supports_independently | $8,846 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-06 | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | supports_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-02 | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | supports_independently | $29,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-01 | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | supports_independently | $21,670 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-25 | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | supports_independently | $32,845 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-25 | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | supports_independently | $29,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-23 | COMMON SENSE COMMON GROUND PAC | supports_independently | $16,412 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-23 | COMMON SENSE COMMON GROUND PAC | supports_independently | $16,412 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-16 | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | supports_independently | $29,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-10 | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | supports_independently | $33,476 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-09 | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | supports_independently | $29,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-30 | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | supports_independently | $32,845 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | VOGEL FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |