MARKEY, MICHAEL JAY MR. JR.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4MI03243- Internal id
3a1e4599-c10e-407d-ba3f-c9591e5aa7b9- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 779,539 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $78,245 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,000 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.454 |
| Race | White alone | 72.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 10.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 38.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.7% |
| Household | Family households | 63.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.51 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $276,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,214 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $3,127 | $0 | $469,890 | $0 |
| 2024 | $805,848 | $802,721 | $3,127 | $469,890 | $256,834 |
Elections
Committees
- MICHAEL MARKEY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $306,298 | 10 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-25 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | oppose | $10,000 | Digital Advertising |
| 2024-07-11 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | oppose | $15,500 | Postage/Printing/Production |
| 2024-07-02 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | oppose | $17,393 | Postage/Printing/Production |
| 2024-07-01 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | oppose | $145,599 | Media Placement/Production |
| 2024-06-26 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | oppose | $17,393 | Postage/Printing/Production |
| 2024-06-26 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | oppose | $50,000 | Digital Advertising |
| 2024-06-21 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | oppose | $3,125 | Production |
| 2024-06-13 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | oppose | $17,393 | Postage/Printing/Production |
| 2024-06-13 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | oppose | $17,393 | Postage/Printing/Production |
| 2024-04-23 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | oppose | $12,500 | Digital Advertising |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (10)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-25 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-11 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | opposes_independently | $15,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-02 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | opposes_independently | $17,393 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-01 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | opposes_independently | $145,599 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-26 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | opposes_independently | $17,393 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-26 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | opposes_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-21 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | opposes_independently | $3,125 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-13 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | opposes_independently | $17,393 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-13 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | opposes_independently | $17,393 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-04-23 | WEST MICHIGAN FOR CHANGE | opposes_independently | $12,500 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MICHAEL MARKEY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |