SMITH, BRADLEY L
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H4MI07111- Internal id
a8250994-3e20-42f8-baaa-1f7e76de1874- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,561 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $80,357 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,559 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.448 |
| Race | White alone | 81.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.5% |
| Household | Family households | 62.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.41 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $256,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,106 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $0 | $50 | $96 | $138,150 | $0 |
| 2012 | $0 | $0 | $146 | $138,150 | $0 |
| 2010 | $0 | $18 | $146 | $138,150 | $0 |
| 2008 | $0 | $320 | $164 | $138,150 | $0 |
| 2006 | $55,100 | $55,600 | $484 | $138,150 | $100 |
| 2004 | $703,432 | $702,470 | $984 | $90,000 | $522,247 |
Elections
- 2004 general house Β· MI-7 β lost_general
Committees
- BRAD SMITH FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BRAD SMITH FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |