COLLIER, MATT
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4MI08242- Internal id
a37b024d-706f-4691-a02c-f48a9fcfd12b- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 770,294 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $63,195 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,073 |
| Income | In poverty | 15.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.461 |
| Race | White alone | 76.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 14.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 96.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.8% |
| Household | Family households | 62.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.35 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $170,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $966 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 74.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 78.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $1,212,680 | $1,212,680 | $0 | $0 | $543,276 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· MI-8 β lost_general
Committees
- COLLIER FOR MICHIGAN β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $160,696 | $0 | 5 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-05 | VOTEVETS | support | $40,000 | Digital Advertising Buy |
| 2024-07-26 | VOTEVETS | support | $7,520 | Digital Advertising Production |
| 2024-07-25 | VOTEVETS | support | $50,000 | Digital Advertising Buy |
| 2024-06-11 | PRINCIPLED VETERANS FUND (PV FUND) | support | $31,214 | DIRECT MAIL |
| 2024-06-11 | PRINCIPLED VETERANS FUND (PV FUND) | support | $31,961 | DIRECT MAIL |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (5)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-05 | VOTEVETS | supports_independently | $40,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-26 | VOTEVETS | supports_independently | $7,520 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-25 | VOTEVETS | supports_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | PRINCIPLED VETERANS FUND (PV FUND) | supports_independently | $31,214 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | PRINCIPLED VETERANS FUND (PV FUND) | supports_independently | $31,961 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COLLIER FOR MICHIGAN | β | candidate_committees |