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BARCELO, STEVE

L Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4MI08267
Internal id
6ce56be8-11c1-4576-940d-38a3e3ab49c9
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-08. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation770,294
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$63,195
IncomePer-capita income$36,073
IncomeIn poverty15.8%
IncomeUnemployed6.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.461
RaceWhite alone76.0%
RaceBlack alone14.9%
RaceAsian alone1.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino5.6%
RaceTwo or more races6.3%
OriginForeign-born2.6%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home96.1%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home1.6%
EducationHigh school or higher56.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher24.9%
EducationAdvanced degree8.8%
HouseholdFamily households62.1%
HouseholdAvg household size2.35
HouseholdNever married (15+)34.1%
HousingMedian home value$170,100
HousingMedian gross rent$966
HousingSingle-family detached74.8%
HousingBuilt before 19406.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.2%
HousingVacant units8.5%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.7%
HealthWith a disability17.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.8%
CommuteDrove alone78.6%
CommutePublic transit0.7%
CommuteWorked from home10.0%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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