KINNIEBREW, ROYCE MR
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4MI12103- Internal id
170cd902-2fc3-4d97-8fd8-5b428f424e06- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-12. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 761,609 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $59,614 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $33,223 |
| Income | In poverty | 20.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 8.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.481 |
| Race | White alone | 47.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 43.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 10.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 82.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.7% |
| Household | Family households | 59.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.51 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 43.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $184,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,200 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 74.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 15.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.5% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· MI-12 β lost_general
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT ROYCE KINNIEBREW β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT ROYCE KINNIEBREW | β | candidate_committees |