MURPHY, MICHAEL A
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H4MN02151- Internal id
04ede87a-c78b-4922-bcd2-9aa570488a5a- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MN-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 730,253 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $108,849 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $51,623 |
| Income | In poverty | 5.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.413 |
| Race | White alone | 75.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 43.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.1% |
| Household | Family households | 69.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.60 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $386,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,521 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $4,032 | $4,056 | $0 | $0 | $3,932 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· MN-2 β lost_general
Committees
- MIKE MURPHY FOR CONGRESS 2024 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MIKE MURPHY FOR CONGRESS 2024 | β | candidate_committees |