TEIRAB, JOE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4MN02177- Internal id
58378617-a055-4e79-be40-5a27b7479e46- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MN-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 730,253 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $108,849 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $51,623 |
| Income | In poverty | 5.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.413 |
| Race | White alone | 75.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 43.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.1% |
| Household | Family households | 69.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.60 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $386,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,521 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $11,298 | $18,902 | $12,081 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $3,304,666 | $3,284,981 | $19,685 | $0 | $2,347,642 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· MN-2 β lost_general
Committees
- JOE TEIRAB FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $35,018 | $665,251 | 9 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | oppose | $626,396 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $30,335 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $8,520 | Media Production - Estimate |
| 2024-10-28 | NORTH STAR VALUES | support | $12,244 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2024-08-13 | NORTH STAR VALUES | support | $4,069 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2024-08-09 | NORTH STAR VALUES | support | $4,189 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2024-08-07 | NORTH STAR VALUES | support | $4,423 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2024-08-03 | NORTH STAR VALUES | support | $4,664 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2024-07-31 | NORTH STAR VALUES | support | $5,428 | TEXT MESSAGES |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (9)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $626,396 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $30,335 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $8,520 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | NORTH STAR VALUES | supports_independently | $12,244 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-13 | NORTH STAR VALUES | supports_independently | $4,069 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-09 | NORTH STAR VALUES | supports_independently | $4,189 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-07 | NORTH STAR VALUES | supports_independently | $4,423 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-03 | NORTH STAR VALUES | supports_independently | $4,664 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-31 | NORTH STAR VALUES | supports_independently | $5,428 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOE TEIRAB FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |