CASEY, MIKE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4MN04132- Internal id
4c2df516-1784-4f05-abf3-4aed357e5005- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MN-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 705,537 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $89,186 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $49,482 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.464 |
| Race | White alone | 63.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 13.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 14.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 79.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 47.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.7% |
| Household | Family households | 59.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $351,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,371 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 54.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 62.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 21.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $3,266 | $3,266 | $0 | $0 | $2,981 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· MN-4 β lost_general
Committees
- CASEY FOR CONGRESS 2024 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CASEY FOR CONGRESS 2024 | β | candidate_committees |