SCHAEFER, KURT
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4MO03239- Internal id
4943d032-f079-49c0-8177-ba3caa68abd0- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 780,389 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $81,928 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,523 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.440 |
| Race | White alone | 85.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.6% |
| Household | Family households | 65.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $268,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,045 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $16,769 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $331,037 | $314,268 | $16,769 | $0 | $249,037 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· MO-3 β lost_general
Committees
- SCHAEFER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $2,484,489 | $1,301,501 | 88 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTIβ¦ | support | $14,635 | Online digital ad buy & production costs |
| β | NATIONAL INTEREST PAC | support | $12,480 | IE-Schaefer-Media Production |
| β | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTIβ¦ | support | $960 | Administrative Consulting |
| 2024-09-11 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | support | $11,975 | IE-Schaefer-Canvassing |
| 2024-08-05 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | support | $8,468 | GOTV PHONE CALLS |
| 2024-08-05 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | support | $8,468 | GOTV PHONE CALLS |
| 2024-08-05 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | support | $4,223 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-08-03 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | support | $9,360 | IN-KIND OFFSET: MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2024-08-03 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | support | $29,776 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-08-03 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | support | $2,726 | RADIO PRODUCTION / RADIO PLACEMENT |
| 2024-08-03 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | support | $1,311 | DIGITAL MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-08-01 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | support | $4,402 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-07-31 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $2,000 | Digital ad placement |
| 2024-07-31 | MISSOURI FARM BUREAU FEDERATION FEDERAL PAC | support | $618 | Advertising |
| 2024-07-31 | MISSOURI FARM BUREAU FEDERATION FEDERAL PAC | support | $3,000 | Advertising |
| 2024-07-31 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $99 | Digital ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | support | $38,282 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-07-29 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $10 | Radio ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | support | $5,127 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-07-29 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $210 | TV ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | support | $2,657 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | support | $5,127 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-07-29 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | support | $90,000 | IE-Schaefer-Canvassing |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | support | $38,282 | MEDIA PLACEMENT / MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | support | $2,147 | SMS MESSAGING |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-27 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | 24E | $4,988 |
| 2025-01-30 | BUILD POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONA⦠| 24K | $-5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (91)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $14,635 | fec_ies | |
| β | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $960 | fec_ies | |
| β | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | supports_independently | $12,480 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-06-27 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $4,988 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-06-27 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | contributed_to | $4,988 | pas2 | |
| 2025-01-30 | BUILD POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HOME BUILDERS (BUILDPAC) | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2024-09-11 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | supports_independently | $11,975 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-05 | AMERICA LEADS | supports_independently | $8,468 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-05 | AMERICA LEADS | supports_independently | $8,468 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-05 | AMERICA LEADS | supports_independently | $4,223 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-03 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $1,311 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-03 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $29,776 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-03 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $2,726 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-03 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $9,360 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-01 | AMERICA LEADS | supports_independently | $4,402 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-31 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $2,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-31 | MISSOURI FARM BUREAU FEDERATION FEDERAL PAC | supports_independently | $618 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-31 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $99 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-31 | MISSOURI FARM BUREAU FEDERATION FEDERAL PAC | supports_independently | $3,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS | supports_independently | $38,282 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-29 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | supports_independently | $90,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS | supports_independently | $2,147 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-29 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $10 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-29 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $210 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS | supports_independently | $5,127 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS | supports_independently | $2,657 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS | supports_independently | $38,282 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS | supports_independently | $5,127 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-25 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $7,718 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-25 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $122,761 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-24 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | supports_independently | $467,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-24 | AMERICA LEADS | supports_independently | $5,949 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-22 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $289 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-22 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $78 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-20 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $1,267 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-19 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $1,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-19 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $1,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-19 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $4,956 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-19 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $5,750 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-19 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $94,198 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-19 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $1,465 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-19 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $9,475 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-19 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $14,659 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-19 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $233,150 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-17 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | supports_independently | $108,750 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-17 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | supports_independently | $108,750 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-10 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | supports_independently | $108,750 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-10 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | supports_independently | $108,750 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-10 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | supports_independently | $85,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-10 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-10 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-10 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | supports_independently | $85,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-09 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $20,259 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-09 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $139,930 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-03 | MAKE DC LISTEN | opposes_independently | $1,967 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-02 | MAKE DC LISTEN | opposes_independently | $43,986 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-02 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $15,536 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-02 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $6,450 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-02 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $107,595 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-02 | MAKE DC LISTEN | opposes_independently | $43,986 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-28 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $10,296 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-28 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $69,615 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-28 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $6,450 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-28 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $8,333 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-28 | MAKE DC LISTEN | opposes_independently | $460,478 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-26 | MISSOURI FARM BUREAU FEDERATION FEDERAL PAC | supports_independently | $10,065 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-19 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $148,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-19 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $18,450 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-19 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $6,450 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-19 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $20,476 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-13 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $13,900 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-13 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $1,650 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-13 | MAKE DC LISTEN | opposes_independently | $125,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-13 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $2,750 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-13 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $13,900 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-12 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $3,757 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-12 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $3,757 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $89,285 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $90,604 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $18,603 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $6,450 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $14,795 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $6,450 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $16,475 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-11 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $14,648 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-06 | MAKE DC LISTEN | opposes_independently | $125,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-04 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $40,930 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-15 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $18,215 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-14 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $48,315 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-14 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $96,630 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-14 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | supports_independently | $2,500 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | SCHAEFER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |