STAPLETON, COREY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4MT01033- Internal id
4e83542b-cfa8-4564-8831-1634d2fb280d- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $219,454 | $219,454 | $0 | $15,000 | $199,571 |
| 2016 | $16,873 | $17,218 | $0 | $220,328 | $0 |
| 2014 | $644,176 | $643,830 | $345 | $220,663 | $415,166 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- STAPLETON FOR MONTANA β principal Β· type H
- WWW.COREYSTAPLETON.COM β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | WWW.COREYSTAPLETON.COM | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | STAPLETON FOR MONTANA | β | candidate_committees |