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MORALES, ROBERT

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4NC02168
Internal id
fefe55ff-f902-41d2-9944-2a91b06b3af1
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-02. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation766,292
PeopleMedian age37
IncomeMedian household income$92,505
IncomePer-capita income$54,149
IncomeIn poverty9.8%
IncomeUnemployed4.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.469
RaceWhite alone55.2%
RaceBlack alone23.1%
RaceAsian alone5.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino13.2%
RaceTwo or more races9.7%
OriginForeign-born14.5%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home80.8%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home10.2%
EducationHigh school or higher69.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher54.0%
EducationAdvanced degree21.6%
HouseholdFamily households58.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.37
HouseholdNever married (15+)38.2%
HousingMedian home value$427,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,580
HousingSingle-family detached50.8%
HousingBuilt before 19401.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.1%
HousingVacant units8.5%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.4%
HealthWith a disability9.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.0%
CommuteDrove alone62.3%
CommutePublic transit1.0%
CommuteWorked from home27.1%

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofMORALES FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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