DUBLIN, MICHAEL
G Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NC02192- Internal id
9fac743c-57ed-4c85-af6e-d761f486b479- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 766,292 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $92,505 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $54,149 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.469 |
| Race | White alone | 55.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 23.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 13.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 14.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 80.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 69.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 54.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 21.6% |
| Household | Family households | 58.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $427,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,580 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 50.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 62.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 27.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $23,377 | $4,245 | $20,873 | $20,000 | $3,335 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NC-2 β lost_general
Committees
- MICHAELDUBLIN4CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MICHAELDUBLIN4CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |