MAGINNIS, BRENDAN KYRAN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NC14031- Internal id
2207c4d5-8f0b-461e-97a1-96827304f1be- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-14. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 767,409 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,731 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,810 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.485 |
| Race | White alone | 68.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.8% |
| Household | Family households | 66.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.49 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $299,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,276 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $40,255 | $40,255 | $0 | $36,985 | $3,270 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NC-14 β lost_general
Committees
- MAGINNIS FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MAGINNIS FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |