VAN OSTERN, KEVIN COLIN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NH02332- Internal id
afdd6c23-4503-4a6f-b715-b98a68c351d5- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NH-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 696,422 |
| People | Median age | 44 |
| Income | Median household income | $97,382 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $51,941 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.450 |
| Race | White alone | 88.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.8% |
| Household | Family households | 65.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $376,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,415 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $1,574,893 | $1,574,893 | $0 | $0 | $1,481,626 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NH-2 β lost_general
Committees
- COLIN VAN OSTERN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $102,843 | $455,149 | 4 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-03 | VOTEVETS | oppose | $5,149 | TV Advertising Production |
| 2024-08-30 | NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY | support | $102,843 | Direct Mail Advertising |
| 2024-08-29 | VOTEVETS | oppose | $300,000 | TV Advertising Buy |
| 2024-08-29 | VOTEVETS | oppose | $150,000 | TV Advertising Buy |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (4)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-03 | VOTEVETS | opposes_independently | $5,149 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-30 | NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY | supports_independently | $102,843 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-29 | VOTEVETS | opposes_independently | $300,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-29 | VOTEVETS | opposes_independently | $150,000 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COLIN VAN OSTERN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |