MACARTHUR, THOMAS
R Β· house Β· bioguide M001193
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H4NJ03130- Internal id
6a453457-6b84-4be4-a67a-b8f1231ba19c- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 783,491 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $116,959 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $57,699 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.440 |
| Race | White alone | 64.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 12.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 15.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 79.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 70.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 46.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.9% |
| Household | Family households | 71.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.62 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $403,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,781 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13,242 | $40,806 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $4,784,733 | $4,764,500 | $27,564 | $216,206 | $1,328,625 |
| 2016 | $1,921,318 | $1,918,373 | $7,331 | $787,986 | $814,035 |
| 2014 | $5,653,128 | $5,648,742 | $4,386 | $513,709 | $343,335 |
Elections
- 2014 general house Β· NJ-3 β won
- 2016 general house Β· NJ-3 β won
- 2018 general house Β· NJ-3 β won
Committees
- TOM MACARTHUR FOR CONGRESS INC. β principal Β· type H
- TOM MACARTHUR VICTORY FUND; THE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- YOUNG GUNS DAY II 2014 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | TOM MACARTHUR VICTORY FUND; THE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | YOUNG GUNS DAY II 2014 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | TOM MACARTHUR FOR CONGRESS INC. | β | candidate_committees |